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Wednesday, June 14, 2006

The 2006 SF Watch

THE STORY continues: Who will have a better season in 2006, Jason Giambi, or Manny Ramirez? Of course the odds favor Ramirez, and Giambi cooled off in May. But so far, in 4 fewer games (55 to 59), Giambi has more home runs (18 - 16), more rbis (51 - 41) and more runs scored (41 - 36). His on base percentage is higher (.454 - .427), and his slugging percentage is higher (.633 - .569). Manny has a higher batting average (.294 - .277), because Giambi suffers from the same shifts that have lowered David Ortiz's average.

The other "ridiculous" comparison (the one that showed I knew "nothing about baseball"), was Chien Ming Wang and Tim Wakefield. Wang has been having some sophomore slumps, but after some bad outings he's gotten his era down to where it was last year (4.15), while Wakefield's is better than a year ago (3.93). But Wakefield has 7 losses and only 4 wins, while Wang has 7 wins and only 2 losses. The jury's still out on this one.

June 14, 2006 in Baseball, New York, Weblogs | Permalink

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Interesting comparison. I have to quibble with the way you explained Giambi's lower batting average: "...because Giambi suffers from the same shifts that have lowered David Ortiz's average." That makes it sound like it's not Giambi's problem, as if it's something someone unfairly imposed on him. Another way of looking at it is that Manny has a higher average because he's not the dead pull hitter that Giambi is and is therefore more difficult to defend against.
Another pair of 3 & 4 hitters to compare to:
Beltran: 18 hrs, 52 rbi, .300 avg., .412 ob, .645 slugging.
Delgado: 19 hrs, 49 rbi, .268 avg., .350 ob, .545 slugging.
Delgado, of course, suffers from the same shift as Ortiz and Giambi.

Posted by: Tom at Jun 15, 2006 9:47:42 AM

It seemed pretty clear before the season started that the Mets would be an interesting team this year: they've promised more than they delivered in recent years, but this year there was more reason for optimism. But did anyone but the most die-hard Mets fan think they would be the best team in baseball more than a third of the way into the season?

Congratulations to the Mets. The question now is if they can maintain their hot play. Will Beltran really be a .300 hitter this year?

Posted by: john massengale at Jun 19, 2006 11:04:33 AM

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